Prediction markets · checked Oct 15, 2026

Prediction market bots

Bots, APIs and automation tools for event-contract markets like Kalshi, Polymarket and Gemini Predictions, with who regulates each venue. Every fact links to its source.

Who regulates the venues

In the US, event contracts trade on exchanges the CFTC designates as contract markets (DCMs). Designation doesn’t make a trade safe or profitable, and some states dispute it for sports and elections. Availability depends on where you live; check each platform’s eligibility rules.

Kalshi

KalshiEX LLC

CFTC designated contract market (DCM) since Nov 4, 2020. Source: cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/8302-20

Mar 4, 2025: Nevada's Gaming Control Board ordered KalshiEX to stop offering sports and election event contracts in Nevada, treating them as unlicensed wagering.

Source: gaming.nv.gov/siteassets/content/about/press-release/NGCB_-_News_Release_

Official API docs

Visit Kalshi ↗ Plain link, no referral code.

Polymarket US

QCX LLC d/b/a Polymarket US

CFTC designated contract market (DCM), designated Jul 9, 2025. On Nov 24, 2025 the CFTC amended the order to allow futures commission merchants to carry customer accounts. Source: cftc.gov/IndustryOversight/IndustryFilings/TradingOrganizations/4957

Jan 3, 2022: per the CFTC, Blockratize Inc. d/b/a Polymarket settled charges of offering unregistered off-exchange event-based binary options; $1.4M penalty and wind-down of non-compliant markets.

Source: cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/8478-22

Official API docs

Visit Polymarket US ↗ Plain link, no referral code.

Gemini Predictions

Gemini Titan, LLC (a Gemini affiliate)

CFTC designated contract market (DCM), designated Dec 10, 2025. Source: cftc.gov/IndustryOversight/IndustryFilings/TradingOrganizations/4447

Official API docs

Open a Gemini account ↗ Referral link

Per Gemini's referral terms (dated Jan 20, 2026), new US users who verify their ID and trade at least $100 within 30 days get $50, and so does the referrer. Gemini can change or end the offer at any time; availability depends on your jurisdiction. Referral terms

Bots and tools (13)

Each has a rule-based report card built only from sourced facts. Payouts never change a report card.

The CFTC warns that AI trading bots promising high or guaranteed returns are a common fraud pitch. Source: cftc.gov/LearnAndProtect/AdvisoriesAndArticles/AITradingBots.html

Open-source bots are listed for what their code and README say. We haven’t run them, and their authors’ descriptions are not verified results. Market making and arbitrage can lose money. Not investment advice. How report cards work · Disclosure