Prediction market bots
Bots, APIs and automation tools for event-contract markets like Kalshi, Polymarket and Gemini Predictions, with who regulates each venue. Every fact links to its source.
Who regulates the venues
In the US, event contracts trade on exchanges the CFTC designates as contract markets (DCMs). Designation doesn’t make a trade safe or profitable, and some states dispute it for sports and elections. Availability depends on where you live; check each platform’s eligibility rules.
Kalshi
KalshiEX LLC
CFTC designated contract market (DCM) since Nov 4, 2020. Source: cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/8302-20
Mar 4, 2025: Nevada's Gaming Control Board ordered KalshiEX to stop offering sports and election event contracts in Nevada, treating them as unlicensed wagering.
Source: gaming.nv.gov/siteassets/content/about/press-release/NGCB_-_News_Release_Visit Kalshi ↗ Plain link, no referral code.
Polymarket US
QCX LLC d/b/a Polymarket US
CFTC designated contract market (DCM), designated Jul 9, 2025. On Nov 24, 2025 the CFTC amended the order to allow futures commission merchants to carry customer accounts. Source: cftc.gov/IndustryOversight/IndustryFilings/TradingOrganizations/4957
Jan 3, 2022: per the CFTC, Blockratize Inc. d/b/a Polymarket settled charges of offering unregistered off-exchange event-based binary options; $1.4M penalty and wind-down of non-compliant markets.
Source: cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/8478-22Visit Polymarket US ↗ Plain link, no referral code.
Gemini Predictions
Gemini Titan, LLC (a Gemini affiliate)
CFTC designated contract market (DCM), designated Dec 10, 2025. Source: cftc.gov/IndustryOversight/IndustryFilings/TradingOrganizations/4447
Open a Gemini account ↗ Referral link
Per Gemini's referral terms (dated Jan 20, 2026), new US users who verify their ID and trade at least $100 within 30 days get $50, and so does the referrer. Gemini can change or end the offer at any time; availability depends on your jurisdiction. Referral terms
Bots and tools (13)
Each has a rule-based report card built only from sourced facts. Payouts never change a report card.
-
Open-source AI trading agent covering prediction markets and crypto, with copy trading, arbitrage detection and DCA bots.
Free (open source).Clear record -
Gemini's prediction markets, with an official Prediction Markets REST API and WebSocket feeds for automated trading.
Not verified yetCaution -
Open-source toolkit for building and measuring LLM-driven strategies on Kalshi, with an API client, dashboard and MCP server.
Free (open source).Clear record -
Kalshi's official exchange API (REST, WebSocket and FIX) for automated trading of event contracts, with a demo environment.
Not verified yetCaution -
Small open-source Python bot that buys “No” on standalone non-sports Polymarket markets. Its README says it is for entertainment only.
Free (public domain).Clear record -
Free Polymarket bot built on OctoBot: copy trading of Polymarket profiles, arbitrage strategies and paper trading. Kalshi support is listed as upcoming.
Free (open source).Clear record -
Open-source trading engine and MCP server for prediction markets that looks for fee-adjusted opportunities.
Free (open source).Clear record -
Open-source unified API (“CCXT for prediction markets”) for trading on Polymarket, Kalshi and others; a building block for bots.
Free (open source).Clear record -
Open-source maker-only market-making bot for the Polymarket order book. Its README warns that market making can lose money.
Free (open source).Clear record -
Polymarket's open-source framework for AI agents that trade on Polymarket. The repository is archived.
Free (open source).Closed -
Polymarket's official developer APIs and SDKs for market data and placing orders on its order book.
Taker fees on some markets, set by the protocol (formula fee = C × feeRate × p × (1 − p)); makers pay no fees; geopolitical and world-events markets are fee-free.Caution -
Polymarket's official Python client for its order book, used by many bots. The repository is archived; Polymarket's docs now point to newer SDKs.
Free (open source).Closed -
Open-source Rust bots for prediction markets (Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless), including copy trading.
Free (open source).Clear record
The CFTC warns that AI trading bots promising high or guaranteed returns are a common fraud pitch. Source: cftc.gov/LearnAndProtect/AdvisoriesAndArticles/AITradingBots.html
Open-source bots are listed for what their code and README say. We haven’t run them, and their authors’ descriptions are not verified results. Market making and arbitrage can lose money. Not investment advice. How report cards work · Disclosure